A change in our weather pattern is bringing us daily chances for rain mid-next week into the coming weekend. A 500 mb shortwave will dig into the Pacific Northwest starting this week and track into the northern plains through the end of our coming week. While the upper level waves track east a slow-moving surface low is forecasted to develop and eject from the Rockies and also track into the northern plains by Wednesday. This in return will bring with it daily chances for scattered and more widespread rain/thunderstorms across the eastern half of ND, and northern MN.
Hot and breezy today and Sunday with SW and south winds respectively for Sat/Sun between 10-25 mph (including gust) with high temps in the low to mid 90's. We will see a very slight chance for a brief isolated " pop-up" thunderstorm Sunday afternoon. Sunshine will continue into Monday and Tuesday still breezy borderline windy with gusts as high as 30 on Monday and 25 on Tuesday. Again a slight chance for a pop-up storm/shower on Monday and overnight Tuesday. Then daily chances for rain and thunderstorms through the coming weekend with more seasonable temperatures.
Current Numerical weather models are showing a good potential for more than half-inch of rain across most of the area with the potential for over 1 inch of rainfall. Will these numbers change? Yes...they will change as we learn more information and as the upper-level wave tracks on land from the Pacific, but with the slow moving nature of the system, I can see some areas picking up over an inch of rain over the course of next week. Behind of upper level short wave, it appears that ridging will again try and take over the following week resulting in potentially warming back up but it also shows a more active pattern which will bring more chances for precip through the end of August. Some much needed rain is just around the corning. Is this too little too late? Some may say yes, but it will help out a lot for the remaining crops, lawns, trees, and most importantly the lakes and rivers!
Meteorologist,
Justin Storm